Predicting Eruptions
Predicting Eruptions
Inclusions Provide Clues to Deep Processes
Crystallization of ascending magma
may affect the style of volcanic activity. Pockets of melt incorporated into
crystals provide windows on processes that occur several kilometres below the Earth's
surface.
Scientists
studying Mount
St Helens
lavas say they have gained new insights into the trigger mechanism of explosive
eruptions. Their analysis of tiny glassy features trapped in ejected rocks
provides novel information on how molten material behaves deep underground.
Writing in Nature, Dr. Jon Blundy of Bristol University, Dr. Madeleine Humphreys of Cambridge, and Dr. Katharine
Cashman from the University of Oregon, Eugene, looked at a range of
material thrown out from Mount St. Helens in the 1980s, and from
more recent events at Shiveluch in Russia. The scientists
examined tiny inclusions (phenocrysts) to determine what conditions must have
been like when they formed deep underground. The
samples contained small glassy inclusions - minute droplets of once molten
material that came up with the rising magma. This work has established
that as magma approaches the surface and pressure decreases, crystallization
occurs, along with a substantial increase in temperature, up to 100 degrees
centigrade (212 F). This is surprising, because crystallization is
traditionally assumed to be associated with cooling. "It is the novel
twist on this study: that magma, as it rises up, crystallizes and gets hotter.
That's something which could have been anticipated from thermodynamic ideas but
has never previously been shown" said Dr. Blundy.
Most volcanic activity on land
occurs above subduction zones, where one tectonic plate dives beneath another.
When a subduction-zone volcano erupts, magma containing abundant dissolved H2O
ascends from a reservoir 8–14 km below the Earth's surface: it is the fate of H2O
vapour bubbles boiling out of the rising melt that largely determines whether
the magma emerges with a bang or a whimper. Mount St. Helens displayed an impressive diversity of eruptive styles
in the early-to-mid 1980s. Magma intrusion produced a bulge on the volcano's
flank between March and May of 1980; eruption intensity peaked on 18 May with a
sustained, explosive eruption of ash and pumice; and intermittent brief
explosions and non-explosive lava extrusions characterized activity for the
subsequent half-dozen years. This
variety of eruptive products made the current study possible by providing lavas
erupted under a variety of conditions.
Dr.
Blundy said that had magma that was thrown out in an eruption a month before
the spectacular May 18, 1980 eruption of Mount St Helens been analyzed using
this technique, it would have revealed that the magma was under exceptional
pressure. This information could have
been used to inform civil authorities of the potential for an extremely violent
eruption.
If ascending
magma is able to heat itself up by crystallizing it may provide an important
trigger for eruption without the need to invoke an extraneous heat source such
as a shot of hotter magma from deep below the surface. The new findings also
suggest the possibility that volcanic crystals grow in response to
decompression on an unexpectedly short timescale of several years rather than
centuries, a time period during which volcanoes can be effectively monitored.
Based on: Nature
443, 76-80 (7
September 2006) and Geology 33, 793–796 (2005).
For a very
readable interpretive piece based on the Blundy et al. Geology paper see:
Julia E. Hammer,
Nature 439, pages 26-27 (5 January 2006)